SAFFRON STORM MAY COME AGAIN; AND THIS TIME IN THE LOK SABHA ELECTION - 2019 RESULTS !!!

Arindam:'Hello! Viewers! You are watching your favourite show, “WINE WITH ARINDAM” at a new branded TV Channel, Royal Indian Tigers Association(RITA) Channel. Today, we have invited in our show, Mr. Chiraunjilal Chaurasia(Statistician cum Researcher of National Election Commission); Mr. Srihari Sridharan(Senior Politics Editor of a reputed Media Company) and Shrimati Priyadarshini Panigrahi(Professor and Researcher of Political Science of a reputed University). Welcome everyone. Thanks for coming to the show. Please be seated. We have served Navratan Pulao, Kaankra Malai Curry, Tandoori Soyabean Chunks and Kaccha Aam-Pudina Chaatney. Along with that, we also have French Red Wine.'

Srihari Sridharan:'Oh! This Kaankra Malai Curry tastes really good. A dish, I never ate before.'


Arindam:'Thank you, Sir! Sir, what is your feedback regarding the recently concluded Panchayat Election in Bangabhoomi and the Assembly Election in Karnataka.'


Srihari Sridharan:'In both the states, one thing is common, that is, the improvement of BJP's performance. But, in Karnataka, BJP is unlucky. JDS could have gone with BJP to negotiate with NDA to get at least one ministry post for JDS in the Central Cabinet Ministry. Anyway, JDS gave some fresh air to INC to breathe. In Bangabhoomi, too much violence spoiled the show. It was expected that TMC will do better, but, due to some wrong strategies of TMC, we are seeing a trend where the young generation people of Bangabhoomi are getting inclined towards BJP.'


Arindam:'Many people are saying that some of the votes of INC and Left Front are also going towards BJP.'


Chiraunjilal Chaurasia:'If we analyze the current trends in some districts of Bangabhoomi, where INC had a strong hold, in those places itself, around 10% of Muslim votes came towards BJP. Even in Uttar Pradesh Assembly Election, around 15% of Muslim votes came towards BJP as BJP was campaigning against Triple Talaq system. In Gujarat also, urban Muslim voters voted for BJP, whereas the Patel Community i.e. Hindu voters of rural areas voted against BJP. In Karnataka, BJP also snatched some Muslim votes in the areas where INC were always too strong. So, the image of BJP is slightly changing now. It is now not a “Hindutva Hardliner” party, but, a party of “DOOR-TO-DOOR DEVELOPMENT”'.


Priyadarshini Panigrahi:'But, some of their strategies are always criticized. Be it demonetization, be it GST implementation. And even, the Lalit Modi, Vijay Malia and Nirav Modi cases have been criticized strongly. Recently, the petrol and diesel hike is also creating a problem. The INC is surely trying to capitalize on these issues.'


Arindam:'There has to be pros and cons in each political party. But, yes, the petrol and diesel prices to be controlled to maintain an equilibrium in the pyramid of Indian economy. But, still, how strong is the Third Front as well as INC to give a tough fight to BJP?'


Srihari Sridharan:'INC should have looked for a new leader, instead of sticking to the Gandhi dynasty. Say, if in the Lok Sabha Election of 2014, had it been a battle of Pranab Mukherjee Vs Narendra Modi, the INC would have given a tough competition to BJP. But, Sonia Gandhi played a game and Pranab Mukherjee became the President of India. Therefore, within INC, there remained no other top political leader to compete with Rahul Gandhi. Automatically, Rahul Gandhi became the No. 1 leader of INC. But, frankly speaking, the Rahul Gandhi's image and the history associated with the Gandhi family are the reasons why before any major election, many supporters of INC cast their vote to BJP out of anger and frustration on Gandhi family.


Arindam:'Leadership does matter. Also, how you speak! How modern your psychology is! Narendra Modi maybe much elder than Rahul Gandhi. But, Narendra Modi is a good orator, leader and has a charisma to attract people towards him. Side by side, an old man is too much supportive towards modernization of technologies and'Digital India' Mission. Rahul Gandhi is still too inexperienced. INC can never come back strongly to Indian Politics, unless and until they come out of old and obsolete'Gandhi dynasty leadership' strategy. By the way, at present, who is the best Chief Minister of India?'


Priyadarshini Panigrahi:'Of course, Naveen Patnaik, the Chief Minister of Odisha. This man is bringing rapid development in Odisha without doing any marketing about it. Even, you will hardly hear him talking in front of media channels to do the publicity about developmental works done by Odisha Government under his tenure. BJD may not lose its strong hold in Odisha so easily, but, TMC may lose its ground in Bangabhoomi.'


Arindam:'Only time will tell, who will lose where and how? So, anyway, which team will win the Lok Sabha 2019 Trophy? After all, it is NDA Vs UPA(including the Third Front Alliance).'


Chiraunjilal Chaurasia:'BJP may alone get around at least 285 seats and the NDA may cross 314 seats. BJP is in the driving seat. UPA without the Third Front Alliance may get more seats. So, INC may do a blunder if they make an alliance with the Third Front before the Election. INC may make an alliance with the Third Front after the Poll Results. Say, for example, had there been an INC-JDS alliance before Karnataka Assembly Election, BJP may have got around 130 seats in Karnataka. INC is extremely lucky; that despite the JDS leaders facing so much insults from the INC leaders, the JDS leaders have still accepted INC as their allied party; only for coming to power. But, how long will JDS-INC Government in Karnataka stay; is itself a billion dollar question?'


Sridhar Sridharan:'You are deviating from the main topic. BJP may get around 240 seats alone. Therefore, there is a possibility that the Third Front will become the Kingmaker again to make the UPA(including the Third Front Alliance) Government at the Centre in 2019.'


Priyadarshini Panigrahi:'BJP is losing its vote banks in the Western parts of India. Therefore, BJP's seats tally may get reduced. But, side by side, BJP is gaining its popularity in the Eastern and North-Eastern parts of India due to'Polarization' issue. In Bangabhoomi, people of one community is getting more money and facilities, and the people of the deprived community is voting for BJP. In the North-Eastern states, infiltration from Bangladesh is becoming a major issue. To solve the situation, they badly need a patriotic political party with a Hindutva tagline to deal with the illegal infiltrators from Bangladesh. Moreover, BJP leadership stretched their arms with love to give respect to all the people of Seven North-Eastern states. Nowadays, you will hardly hear any student from the North-Eastern states getting racially abused by any local people of New Delhi.'


Chiraunjilal Chaurasia:'Exactly! You are right. BJP truly kept its promise about the'Look East Policy'. Whatever seats, BJP may lose in the Western parts of India, they will gain more than that from the Eastern parts of India. BJP may have failed to form the Government in Karnataka. But, points to be noted, that, BJP is becoming popular in Karnataka means, it also has some of its impact on other South Indian states too. Overall, the Modi Government may have given some bitter medicines to cure some illness of Indian Economy. Maybe, this Government hardly reduced the prices of petrol and diesel; so as to earn more revenues to provide more LPG subsidies to the poor people of rural India. But, the Modi Government has succeeded in taming terrorists as well as inflation. To some extent, due to digital India campaigns, in urban areas, many people gained confidence in cashless transactions, thereby reducing some expenses for the Indian Government as they have to print lesser number of currency notes nowadays. Hence, Narendra Modi may become the Prime Minister of India for the 2nd time.'


Arindam:'Oh! Wait, let me say some two lines in Hindi, “Bharat ke mahaan lootere hain Vijay Malia, Lalit Modi aur Nirav MODI; phir bhi sab ko saath le ke Bharat ka Vikaash karne ke liye, phir 2019 mein satta mein aa rahe hain Narendra MODI.”'


Priyadarshini Panigrahi:'Baah! Baah! You must start writing poems from now on.


Arindam:'Thanks for the suggestion, though, this suggestion is a very old one. So, after the discussions in this program, we may come to the conclusion that, “SAFFRON STORM MAY COME AGAIN; AND THIS TIME IN THE LOK SABHA ELECTION -2019 RESULTS”. Thank you to all of you for coming here and sharing your personal views or opinions. Viewers, we hope that you have enjoyed this show. Keep on watching our show. See you all later, till then, take care, be happy. Goodbye!'